When fashion becomes the first expense sacrificed

by PASCAL IAKOVOU
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The slowdown of the French fashion market is no longer due to inflation alone. It reflects a deeper change: buying clothes has become one of the first variables households adjust. This contraction forces retailers to move beyond a purely price-based reading and to rebuild perceived value.

According to the Référenseigne Fashion 2026 study by Worldpanel by Numerator, seventy-two per cent of households say they do not feel like spending. Fashion is among the most exposed categories: sixty-six per cent of French people plan to cut their purchases there. Volumes are down 5.1%, spending 4.6% and purchase frequency 6.3%. A French consumer now makes 19.4 fashion purchases a year, against 23.5 in 2019.

The most revealing figure, however, is not the overall decline. Fifty-three per cent of buyers are reducing their spending, but forty-seven per cent are maintaining or increasing it. The market is therefore not collapsing uniformly: it is polarising. Heavy buyers are among those cutting back most, while part of the public continues to choose in favour of retailers able to justify their price through a more coherent relationship, image or experience.

This fracture reshuffles the cards of retail. Over ten years, players built on permanently low prices have gained more than ten points of market share in volume, reaching nearly twenty-nine per cent. Temu now overtakes Shein in number of buyers. Yet the study also underlines the limits of the price war. A cheaper proposition is no longer automatically a more desirable one, especially when the offer becomes interchangeable.

At the other end, some premium retailers hold up thanks to loyalty and perceived value. Zara illustrates this dynamic: its appeal rests not only on price but on speed, the legibility of its style and the ability to maintain a frequent relationship with the buyer. For luxury, the lesson is direct. In an environment where fashion spending is constantly being questioned, quality can no longer simply be declared. It must be demonstrated at every point of contact.

The purchase journey is also evolving. Omnichannel players hold up better than pure players, while the physical store regains a reassurance function despite the decline in the number of points of sale. Digital is not in retreat: it is changing role. Social networks play a larger part in discovery, and artificial intelligence and chatbots are beginning to transform guidance, recommendation and service.

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Hélène Janicaud, Fashion expert at Worldpanel by Numerator, sums up this shift: “Price is no longer, on its own, a factor of lasting success.” The remark applies particularly to Maisons, whose value depends on their ability to make creation, craft, provenance and duration legible.

Deconsumption therefore does not signal the end of desire. It makes it more selective. The retailers that survive this phase will not necessarily be those that sell the cheapest, but those that can give a sufficiently precise reason to buy less, but better.

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